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Red116
612133.7
778238.1
804123.4
Blue114
353732.0
531437.9
607923.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10098406080120140160180116114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.10.5
37.738.2
Auto13.4
Teleop17.8
End6.8
red by 0.2
37.90.5
37.537.9
Auto11.4
Teleop19.6
End6.9
Second
6121
#16
33.70.5
33.333.7
Auto10.5
Teleop18.4
End4.8
red by 1.7
3537
#23
32.00.5
31.532.0
Auto6.4
Teleop21.3
End4.2
Third
8041
#20
23.40.5
23.023.5
Auto7.4
Teleop8.9
End7.2
Level
6079
#21
23.50.5
23.023.5
Auto4.6
Teleop10.8
End8.1