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Red128
917635.8
483523.7
85758.9
Blue115
656933.7
725035.7
611229.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126100406080140160180128115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
857
#2
58.90.3
58.458.7
Auto17.7
Teleop31.8
End9.1
red by 23.2
35.70.4
35.035.4
Auto10.7
Teleop14.8
End10.3
Second
9176
#12
35.80.3
35.335.6
Auto8.6
Teleop20.5
End6.4
red by 2.1
33.70.4
33.033.4
Auto9.7
Teleop18.1
End6.0
Third
4835
#39
23.70.3
23.223.4
Auto7.0
Teleop12.0
End4.6
blue by 6.2
6112
#14
29.90.4
29.229.6
Auto8.4
Teleop14.6
End6.9