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Red143
365552.1
360223.6
439244.3
Blue117
804123.4
778238.1
612133.7
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13194406080120140160180200143117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.10.6
51.452.0
Auto12.2
Teleop31.8
End8.1
red by 14.0
38.10.4
37.237.7
Auto13.4
Teleop17.8
End6.8
Second
44.30.6
43.644.1
Auto13.4
Teleop23.1
End7.7
red by 10.6
6121
#16
33.70.4
32.833.3
Auto10.5
Teleop18.4
End4.8
Third
3602
#17
23.60.6
23.123.6
Auto7.6
Teleop9.2
End6.8
red by 0.2
8041
#20
23.40.4
22.523.0
Auto7.4
Teleop8.9
End7.2