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Red95
611229.9
725035.7
656933.7
Blue115
804123.4
778238.1
612133.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10710105015020025095115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.70.1
35.835.7
Auto10.7
Teleop14.8
End10.3
blue by 2.4
38.10.3
38.238.5
Auto13.4
Teleop17.8
End6.8
Second
33.70.1
33.833.7
Auto9.7
Teleop18.1
End6.0
Level
6121
#16
33.70.3
33.734.1
Auto10.5
Teleop18.4
End4.8
Third
6112
#14
29.90.1
30.029.9
Auto8.4
Teleop14.6
End6.9
red by 6.5
8041
#20
23.40.3
23.523.8
Auto7.4
Teleop8.9
End7.2