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Red137
365552.1
776823.0
439244.3
Blue84
804123.4
778238.1
612133.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1309940608012014016018020013784

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.10.4
51.552.0
Auto12.2
Teleop31.8
End8.1
red by 14.0
38.10.4
38.538.1
Auto13.4
Teleop17.8
End6.8
Second
44.30.4
43.744.1
Auto13.4
Teleop23.1
End7.7
red by 10.6
6121
#16
33.70.4
34.133.7
Auto10.5
Teleop18.4
End4.8
Third
7768
#34
23.00.4
22.422.8
Auto11.7
Teleop7.2
End4.2
blue by 0.4
8041
#20
23.40.4
23.823.4
Auto7.4
Teleop8.9
End7.2