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Red114
118949.2
586023.7
170152.2
Blue157
546059.6
317555.4
608519.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13314480100120160180200220114157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.20.3
52.552.2
Auto13.1
Teleop32.2
End6.8
blue by 7.4
59.60.2
59.559.6
Auto16.3
Teleop35.1
End8.1
Second
49.20.3
49.549.2
Auto16.1
Teleop24.8
End8.3
blue by 6.2
55.40.2
55.255.4
Auto14.4
Teleop30.8
End10.2
Third
5860
#22
23.70.3
24.023.7
Auto7.5
Teleop10.4
End5.8
red by 4.2
6085
#21
19.50.2
19.319.5
Auto5.0
Teleop6.8
End7.8