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Red82
590144.0
608519.5
776219.7
Blue67
781317.0
722427.4
759715.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions625501001502002503003504008267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.01.6
30.832.4
Auto11.5
Teleop23.8
End8.7
red by 16.6
7224
#10
27.40.7
20.321.0
Auto12.6
Teleop9.2
End5.5
Second
7762
#25
19.71.8
16.718.6
Auto5.7
Teleop6.3
End7.7
red by 2.6
7813
#39
17.00.6
20.120.8
Auto6.0
Teleop5.7
End5.3
Third
6085
#21
19.51.6
9.811.5
Auto5.0
Teleop6.8
End7.8
red by 3.8
7597
#30
15.80.6
12.012.6
Auto2.9
Teleop5.0
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
62%Activation oddsEarned32%Activation oddsEarned