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Red136
612026.5
555530.7
118949.2
Blue108
81851.6
481026.2
882610.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions887420406080100120140136108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.21.1
47.048.1
Auto16.1
Teleop24.8
End8.3
blue by 2.4
818
#2
51.61.3
38.539.8
Auto14.3
Teleop29.0
End8.2
Second
30.71.1
17.618.7
Auto7.7
Teleop14.9
End8.0
red by 4.5
4810
#24
26.21.3
23.725.1
Auto7.7
Teleop11.6
End6.9
Third
6120
#15
26.51.1
15.917.0
Auto7.7
Teleop13.2
End5.6
red by 16.2
8826
#34
10.31.3
8.69.9
Auto2.9
Teleop4.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
54%Activation oddsMissed29%Activation oddsMissed