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Red115
555530.7
546059.6
608519.5
Blue116
838527.5
722427.4
317555.4
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94101406080120140160180115116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.61.7
54.956.6
Auto16.3
Teleop35.1
End8.1
red by 4.2
55.41.5
48.249.7
Auto14.4
Teleop30.8
End10.2
Second
30.71.7
21.423.1
Auto7.7
Teleop14.9
End8.0
red by 3.2
8385
#20
27.51.5
21.623.1
Auto6.3
Teleop13.8
End7.4
Third
6085
#21
19.51.7
13.114.8
Auto5.0
Teleop6.8
End7.8
blue by 7.9
7224
#10
27.41.5
23.825.3
Auto12.6
Teleop9.2
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsEarned7%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
72%Activation oddsEarned76%Activation oddsEarned