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Red49
781317.0
586023.7
925532.7
Blue81
882610.3
811529.2
477936.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71800501001502004981

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.71.3
30.729.5
Auto8.3
Teleop17.9
End6.4
blue by 3.7
4779
#18
36.50.2
39.138.9
Auto13.4
Teleop19.1
End3.9
Second
5860
#22
23.71.3
18.317.1
Auto7.5
Teleop10.4
End5.8
blue by 5.5
8115
#16
29.20.2
25.325.1
Auto10.5
Teleop14.3
End4.3
Third
7813
#39
17.01.3
19.017.8
Auto6.0
Teleop5.7
End5.3
red by 6.7
8826
#34
10.30.2
9.59.3
Auto2.9
Teleop4.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
59%Activation oddsMissed21%Activation oddsEarned