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Red107
608519.5
838527.5
586023.7
Blue20
836413.8
523912.1
882610.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62360208010012010720

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8385
#20
27.51.5
23.124.6
Auto6.3
Teleop13.8
End7.4
red by 13.7
8364
#27
13.81.1
16.415.2
Auto3.5
Teleop4.3
End5.9
Second
5860
#22
23.71.5
17.118.6
Auto7.5
Teleop10.4
End5.8
red by 11.7
5239
#28
12.11.1
11.410.3
Auto0.8
Teleop8.2
End3.1
Third
6085
#21
19.51.5
14.816.3
Auto5.0
Teleop6.8
End7.8
red by 9.2
8826
#34
10.31.1
9.38.2
Auto2.9
Teleop4.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
48%Activation oddsMissed18%Activation oddsMissed