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Red58
592638.0
522512.6
477936.5
Blue101
555530.7
317555.4
781317.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions889840608012014016018058101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5926
#14
38.02.1
35.033.0
Auto14.2
Teleop17.5
End6.3
blue by 17.4
55.40.7
49.750.4
Auto14.4
Teleop30.8
End10.2
Second
4779
#18
36.52.1
38.936.8
Auto13.4
Teleop19.1
End3.9
red by 5.8
30.70.7
23.123.8
Auto7.7
Teleop14.9
End8.0
Third
5225
#32
12.62.1
10.18.1
Auto3.0
Teleop4.9
End4.7
blue by 4.5
7813
#39
17.00.7
17.818.5
Auto6.0
Teleop5.7
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
74%Activation oddsMissed81%Activation oddsEarned