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Red58
722427.4
477936.5
361912.0
Blue80
523912.1
353948.6
811529.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79922040601001201401605880

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4779
#18
36.51.5
36.835.3
Auto13.4
Teleop19.1
End3.9
blue by 12.2
48.60.3
48.548.2
Auto12.8
Teleop27.5
End8.3
Second
7224
#10
27.41.5
24.823.3
Auto12.6
Teleop9.2
End5.5
blue by 1.8
8115
#16
29.20.3
26.325.9
Auto10.5
Teleop14.3
End4.3
Third
3619
#35
12.01.5
14.012.5
Auto3.5
Teleop6.5
End2.0
blue by 0.1
5239
#28
12.10.3
10.39.9
Auto0.8
Teleop8.2
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
54%Activation oddsMissed69%Activation oddsEarned