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Red120
522512.6
546059.6
925532.7
Blue117
592638.0
608519.5
12337.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10289050150200120117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.61.7
57.359.0
Auto16.3
Teleop35.1
End8.1
red by 21.6
5926
#14
38.01.8
33.034.7
Auto14.2
Teleop17.5
End6.3
Second
32.71.7
28.830.5
Auto8.3
Teleop17.9
End6.4
blue by 4.3
123
#23
37.11.8
35.937.7
Auto12.2
Teleop19.7
End5.2
Third
5225
#32
12.61.7
8.19.8
Auto3.0
Teleop4.9
End4.7
blue by 6.9
6085
#21
19.51.8
16.318.1
Auto5.0
Teleop6.8
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsEarned7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
63%Activation oddsEarned82%Activation oddsEarned