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Red124
811529.2
81851.6
781317.0
Blue109
170152.2
921216.6
546059.6
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90141406080100120160180200124109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
818
#2
51.62.2
45.247.5
Auto14.3
Teleop29.0
End8.2
blue by 8.0
59.61.4
59.057.6
Auto16.3
Teleop35.1
End8.1
Second
8115
#16
29.22.2
25.928.2
Auto10.5
Teleop14.3
End4.3
blue by 23.0
52.21.4
48.647.1
Auto13.1
Teleop32.2
End6.8
Third
7813
#39
17.02.2
19.221.5
Auto6.0
Teleop5.7
End5.3
red by 0.5
9212
#40
16.61.4
18.917.4
Auto6.4
Teleop6.6
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsEarned48%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
57%Activation oddsEarned77%Activation oddsMissed