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Red74
836413.8
481026.2
608519.5
Blue18
45315.7
607715.4
477936.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions607202040801001201407418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4810
#24
26.20.4
25.626.0
Auto7.7
Teleop11.6
End6.9
blue by 10.2
4779
#18
36.53.2
35.332.1
Auto13.4
Teleop19.1
End3.9
Second
6085
#21
19.50.4
18.118.5
Auto5.0
Teleop6.8
End7.8
red by 3.8
453
#13
15.73.2
14.211.0
Auto1.5
Teleop8.3
End5.9
Third
8364
#27
13.80.4
14.314.7
Auto3.5
Teleop4.3
End5.9
blue by 1.6
6077
#38
15.43.2
16.313.1
Auto2.4
Teleop8.3
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
53%Activation oddsMissed34%Activation oddsMissed