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Red98
759715.8
12337.1
612026.5
Blue117
317555.4
260415.9
586023.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73932040608012014016098117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123
#23
37.11.8
37.739.5
Auto12.2
Teleop19.7
End5.2
blue by 18.3
55.42.1
52.254.3
Auto14.4
Teleop30.8
End10.2
Second
6120
#15
26.51.8
20.121.9
Auto7.7
Teleop13.2
End5.6
red by 2.8
5860
#22
23.72.1
17.619.8
Auto7.5
Teleop10.4
End5.8
Third
7597
#30
15.81.8
13.114.9
Auto2.9
Teleop5.0
End7.9
blue by 0.2
2604
#33
15.92.1
15.217.4
Auto4.3
Teleop4.5
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
56%Activation oddsEarned75%Activation oddsEarned