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Red122
481026.2
590144.0
592638.0
Blue150
546059.6
317555.4
608519.5
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11114850100200122150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.00.1
44.144.0
Auto11.5
Teleop23.8
End8.7
blue by 15.7
59.60.4
59.459.8
Auto16.3
Teleop35.1
End8.1
Second
5926
#14
38.00.1
38.138.0
Auto14.2
Teleop17.5
End6.3
blue by 17.4
55.40.4
55.255.6
Auto14.4
Teleop30.8
End10.2
Third
4810
#24
26.20.1
26.326.2
Auto7.7
Teleop11.6
End6.9
red by 6.7
6085
#21
19.50.4
19.319.7
Auto5.0
Teleop6.8
End7.8