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Red105
511440.7
523121.7
521648.5
Blue101
542437.6
377037.9
675329.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1201126080100140160180200105101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.50.1
48.648.5
Auto11.7
Teleop26.7
End10.0
red by 10.5
37.90.1
38.137.9
Auto10.7
Teleop17.2
End10.1
Second
40.70.1
40.940.7
Auto12.6
Teleop18.9
End9.3
red by 3.1
37.60.1
37.737.6
Auto12.5
Teleop18.1
End7.1
Third
5231
#22
21.70.1
21.921.7
Auto5.3
Teleop9.0
End7.5
blue by 8.1
6753
#27
29.80.1
29.929.8
Auto8.2
Teleop13.5
End8.1