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Red125
606727.6
887328.0
571253.2
Blue99
438218.1
377037.9
542437.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102805015012599

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.21.5
42.941.4
Auto13.5
Teleop31.0
End8.7
red by 15.3
37.90.4
29.830.2
Auto10.7
Teleop17.2
End10.1
Second
8873
#17
28.01.5
25.223.7
Auto10.2
Teleop11.7
End6.1
blue by 9.6
37.60.4
30.430.8
Auto12.5
Teleop18.1
End7.1
Third
6067
#26
27.61.5
24.923.4
Auto10.1
Teleop11.2
End6.3
red by 9.4
4382
#25
18.10.4
17.918.3
Auto5.8
Teleop6.9
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
44%Activation oddsMissed69%Activation oddsEarned