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Red94
511440.7
550915.7
607318.6
Blue102
828624.9
516655.6
551722.1
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions739720406012014016094102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.71.5
33.134.6
Auto12.6
Teleop18.9
End9.3
blue by 14.9
55.60.3
47.748.0
Auto16.7
Teleop30.0
End8.8
Second
6073
#18
18.61.5
16.918.4
Auto3.9
Teleop10.6
End4.2
blue by 6.3
8286
#33
24.90.3
25.225.5
Auto8.8
Teleop10.8
End5.4
Third
5509
#38
15.72.5
21.524.0
Auto3.8
Teleop8.1
End3.7
blue by 6.4
22.10.3
14.715.0
Auto7.4
Teleop8.3
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
40%Activation oddsEarned76%Activation oddsEarned