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Red59
603317.6
887328.0
664216.8
Blue51
550915.7
924615.6
519316.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59593040507080905951

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8873
#17
28.00.2
22.422.6
Auto10.2
Teleop11.7
End6.1
red by 11.8
5193
#31
16.20.3
16.115.8
Auto6.2
Teleop3.7
End6.3
Second
6033
#23
17.60.2
18.518.7
Auto5.9
Teleop6.4
End5.3
red by 1.9
5509
#38
15.70.4
24.424.0
Auto3.8
Teleop8.1
End3.7
Third
6642
#29
16.80.2
15.115.3
Auto4.9
Teleop5.5
End6.3
red by 1.1
9246
#30
15.60.3
14.314.1
Auto5.2
Teleop5.1
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
20%Activation oddsEarned45%Activation oddsMissed