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Red111
606727.6
31436.6
598222.5
Blue64
519316.2
522421.4
675329.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions837520406010012014011164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
#10
36.62.0
31.733.7
Auto11.1
Teleop16.2
End9.2
red by 6.8
6753
#27
29.80.5
30.830.3
Auto8.2
Teleop13.5
End8.1
Second
6067
#26
27.62.0
24.426.3
Auto10.1
Teleop11.2
End6.3
red by 6.2
5224
#28
21.40.5
24.423.9
Auto5.8
Teleop11.2
End4.3
Third
5982
#14
22.52.0
20.622.6
Auto6.7
Teleop9.4
End6.4
red by 6.3
5193
#31
16.20.5
15.915.5
Auto6.2
Teleop3.7
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
64%Activation oddsEarned63%Activation oddsEarned