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Red149
664216.8
516655.6
571253.2
Blue81
598222.5
522925.3
607318.6
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14258010020014981

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.60.6
54.855.4
Auto16.7
Teleop30.0
End8.8
red by 30.3
5229
#15
25.30.2
24.925.1
Auto7.4
Teleop11.6
End6.2
Second
53.20.6
52.453.0
Auto13.5
Teleop31.0
End8.7
red by 30.7
5982
#14
22.50.2
22.122.4
Auto6.7
Teleop9.4
End6.4
Third
6642
#29
16.80.6
15.916.5
Auto4.9
Teleop5.5
End6.3
blue by 1.8
6073
#18
18.60.2
18.218.4
Auto3.9
Teleop10.6
End4.2