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Red112
675329.8
377037.9
542437.6
Blue114
851727.8
261933.3
696329.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11290406080100120140160112114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.90.2
37.037.2
Auto10.7
Teleop17.2
End10.1
red by 4.7
2619
#11
33.30.6
32.232.8
Auto12.8
Teleop10.7
End9.7
Second
37.60.2
36.736.9
Auto12.5
Teleop18.1
End7.1
red by 7.7
29.90.6
28.829.4
Auto8.4
Teleop13.7
End7.7
Third
6753
#27
29.80.2
28.829.0
Auto8.2
Teleop13.5
End8.1
red by 2.1
8517
#21
27.80.6
26.627.2
Auto8.1
Teleop12.0
End7.7