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Red102
851727.8
261933.3
696329.9
Blue91
353639.5
31436.6
922521.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9410640608012014016018010291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2619
#11
33.30.3
32.933.2
Auto12.8
Teleop10.7
End9.7
blue by 6.2
39.50.2
39.639.5
Auto10.1
Teleop19.1
End10.2
Second
29.90.3
29.529.8
Auto8.4
Teleop13.7
End7.7
blue by 6.7
314
#10
36.60.2
36.736.6
Auto11.1
Teleop16.2
End9.2
Third
8517
#21
27.80.3
27.327.6
Auto8.1
Teleop12.0
End7.7
red by 6.4
9225
#19
21.30.2
21.521.3
Auto5.6
Teleop11.8
End3.9