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Red75
607121.1
560330.7
551722.1
Blue126
542437.6
377037.9
675329.8
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73114020406010014016075126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5603
#20
30.70.0
30.730.7
Auto8.5
Teleop15.7
End6.6
blue by 7.2
37.90.3
36.837.1
Auto10.7
Teleop17.2
End10.1
Second
22.10.0
22.022.1
Auto7.4
Teleop8.3
End6.4
blue by 15.6
37.60.3
36.536.8
Auto12.5
Teleop18.1
End7.1
Third
6071
#16
21.10.0
21.121.1
Auto7.2
Teleop7.4
End6.6
blue by 8.7
6753
#27
29.80.3
28.729.0
Auto8.2
Teleop13.5
End8.1