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Red70
722420.3
341432.6
370719.9
Blue101
556129.8
634432.6
505323.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7694406010012014070101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3414
#13
32.60.2
32.832.6
Auto12.6
Teleop12.8
End7.3
Level
32.60.3
32.532.8
Auto6.7
Teleop16.8
End9.1
Second
7224
#22
20.30.2
20.520.3
Auto9.4
Teleop5.9
End4.9
blue by 9.5
5561
#12
29.80.3
29.730.0
Auto7.4
Teleop15.6
End6.8
Third
3707
#32
19.90.2
20.119.9
Auto3.7
Teleop9.7
End6.5
blue by 3.9
5053
#15
23.70.3
23.624.0
Auto7.8
Teleop9.9
End6.0