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Red100
705631.7
6618.8
516725.9
Blue67
717827.1
759822.5
755318.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8372406010012010067

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7056
#14
31.70.3
31.631.9
Auto11.6
Teleop14.7
End5.4
red by 4.5
7178
#19
27.10.0
27.127.1
Auto8.8
Teleop16.6
End1.8
Second
25.90.3
25.926.2
Auto8.3
Teleop8.4
End9.2
red by 3.4
22.50.0
22.622.5
Auto5.9
Teleop9.4
End7.2
Third
66
#26
18.80.3
18.819.1
Auto6.9
Teleop4.4
End7.6
blue by 0.1
7553
#17
18.90.0
18.918.9
Auto5.0
Teleop7.0
End6.8