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Red71
433717.7
828518.3
750128.3
Blue62
610025.7
345820.6
922320.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54553040506070807162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7501
#10
28.31.3
24.525.8
Auto9.5
Teleop10.6
End8.2
red by 2.6
25.70.8
18.619.3
Auto8.7
Teleop11.0
End6.1
Second
8285
#30
18.32.2
16.218.4
Auto3.2
Teleop8.4
End6.6
blue by 2.3
3458
#18
20.61.3
17.618.8
Auto5.1
Teleop10.1
End5.4
Third
4337
#24
17.72.2
10.512.7
Auto5.5
Teleop6.2
End5.9
blue by 2.5
9223
#17
20.21.3
14.515.8
Auto4.6
Teleop7.8
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
31%Activation oddsEarned11%Activation oddsEarned