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Red95
922517.0
442245.7
516732.7
Blue130
612820.3
335751.2
357245.4
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions871042040608012014016095130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.70.1
45.045.1
Auto12.9
Teleop23.4
End9.4
blue by 5.5
51.22.3
50.152.5
Auto11.7
Teleop29.9
End9.6
Second
5167
#13
32.70.1
26.426.5
Auto12.0
Teleop12.7
End7.9
blue by 12.7
45.42.3
33.736.0
Auto12.8
Teleop24.5
End8.0
Third
9225
#34
17.00.1
12.312.4
Auto2.8
Teleop9.8
End4.5
blue by 3.3
6128
#15
20.33.9
11.415.2
Auto4.4
Teleop10.2
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned83%Activation oddsEarned