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Red70
642810.4
750128.3
705428.0
Blue89
924613.6
296039.2
612820.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions676940506080907089

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7501
#10
28.30.4
26.827.2
Auto9.5
Teleop10.6
End8.2
blue by 10.8
39.22.0
36.238.2
Auto12.0
Teleop19.5
End7.7
Second
7054
#14
28.00.4
27.728.1
Auto10.9
Teleop9.2
End7.8
red by 7.7
6128
#15
20.32.0
16.118.1
Auto4.4
Teleop10.2
End5.8
Third
6428
#33
10.40.6
9.510.1
Auto2.0
Teleop2.7
End5.6
blue by 3.3
9246
#25
13.62.0
10.812.9
Auto3.7
Teleop5.2
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
60%Activation oddsEarned47%Activation oddsEarned