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Red88
357245.4
760212.7
495624.7
Blue63
720230.1
656117.7
485513.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8763020401001201401608863

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.40.5
38.638.1
Auto12.8
Teleop24.5
End8.0
red by 15.3
7202
#22
30.10.6
27.927.3
Auto11.7
Teleop14.0
End4.4
Second
4956
#16
24.70.7
24.523.7
Auto9.3
Teleop10.1
End5.4
red by 7.0
6561
#35
17.70.6
18.718.1
Auto3.9
Teleop8.4
End5.3
Third
7602
#31
12.70.7
15.614.9
Auto1.9
Teleop5.7
End5.1
blue by 1.1
4855
#38
13.80.9
15.614.7
Auto5.4
Teleop6.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
57%Activation oddsMissed20%Activation oddsMissed