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Red121
14125.3
357245.4
516732.7
Blue84
705428.0
90423.1
495624.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9775406012014016012184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.42.2
39.541.7
Auto12.8
Teleop24.5
End8.0
red by 17.4
7054
#14
28.00.7
28.929.6
Auto10.9
Teleop9.2
End7.8
Second
5167
#13
32.72.2
28.030.2
Auto12.0
Teleop12.7
End7.9
red by 7.9
4956
#16
24.70.9
24.625.5
Auto9.3
Teleop10.1
End5.4
Third
141
#12
25.32.7
20.623.3
Auto7.3
Teleop10.2
End7.8
red by 2.2
904
#28
23.10.9
19.920.7
Auto5.6
Teleop12.5
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
78%Activation oddsEarned56%Activation oddsEarned