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Red115
781018.1
353867.9
547011.9
Blue76
345820.6
828518.3
442245.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions959570809010011012013011576

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.91.0
64.665.7
Auto17.6
Teleop40.2
End10.0
red by 22.2
45.71.2
48.447.3
Auto12.9
Teleop23.4
End9.4
Second
7810
#20
18.11.3
15.516.8
Auto4.8
Teleop7.8
End5.4
blue by 2.5
3458
#18
20.61.4
19.117.7
Auto5.1
Teleop10.1
End5.4
Third
5470
#36
11.91.3
9.410.7
Auto1.8
Teleop5.6
End4.5
blue by 6.4
8285
#30
18.31.4
20.819.4
Auto3.2
Teleop8.4
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
70%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsMissed