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Red31
240522.1
345820.6
485513.8
Blue135
656117.7
207554.7
442245.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions649805015031135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2405
#29
22.13.7
18.114.4
Auto2.5
Teleop12.5
End7.1
blue by 32.6
54.74.7
32.136.8
Auto16.4
Teleop30.9
End7.4
Second
3458
#18
20.63.7
22.218.5
Auto5.1
Teleop10.1
End5.4
blue by 25.1
45.72.8
40.943.8
Auto12.9
Teleop23.4
End9.4
Third
4855
#38
13.83.7
24.020.3
Auto5.4
Teleop6.3
End2.2
blue by 3.9
6561
#35
17.72.8
14.417.2
Auto3.9
Teleop8.4
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
44%Activation oddsMissed71%Activation oddsEarned