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Red100
296039.2
600517.9
357245.4
Blue19
828518.3
642810.4
609419.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8757010015010019

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.41.5
33.835.3
Auto12.8
Teleop24.5
End8.0
red by 25.6
6094
#21
19.84.3
20.316.0
Auto4.5
Teleop9.2
End6.2
Second
39.22.5
28.731.2
Auto12.0
Teleop19.5
End7.7
red by 20.9
8285
#30
18.34.3
20.716.4
Auto3.2
Teleop8.4
End6.6
Third
6005
#32
17.92.5
15.317.7
Auto1.8
Teleop8.9
End7.2
red by 7.5
6428
#33
10.44.3
16.612.3
Auto2.0
Teleop2.7
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
68%Activation oddsEarned45%Activation oddsMissed