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Red135
438151.2
600517.9
353867.9
Blue137
207554.7
357245.4
90423.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14512780100160180200220135137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.90.2
66.766.5
Auto17.6
Teleop40.2
End10.0
red by 13.2
54.70.2
54.054.3
Auto16.4
Teleop30.9
End7.4
Second
51.20.2
50.049.7
Auto17.9
Teleop24.6
End8.7
red by 5.8
45.40.2
44.745.0
Auto12.8
Teleop24.5
End8.0
Third
6005
#32
17.90.2
16.716.5
Auto1.8
Teleop8.9
End7.2
blue by 5.3
904
#28
23.10.2
22.522.7
Auto5.6
Teleop12.5
End5.1