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Red109
719521.1
354639.6
516732.7
Blue118
442245.7
335751.2
240522.1
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93132406080120140160180109118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.60.4
39.339.6
Auto9.7
Teleop24.3
End5.5
blue by 11.5
51.20.0
51.251.2
Auto11.7
Teleop29.9
End9.6
Second
5167
#13
32.70.4
32.332.7
Auto12.0
Teleop12.7
End7.9
blue by 13.0
45.70.0
45.745.7
Auto12.9
Teleop23.4
End9.4
Third
7195
#23
21.10.4
20.821.1
Auto4.6
Teleop11.2
End5.4
blue by 1.0
2405
#29
22.10.0
22.222.2
Auto2.5
Teleop12.5
End7.1