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Red152
5165.5
283442.8
546064.4
Blue177
540654.4
872829.7
442259.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18514050100200250152177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#2
65.50.6
64.964.3
Auto14.6
Teleop39.3
End10.0
red by 6.5
59.00.3
56.957.2
Auto14.7
Teleop34.4
End8.6
Second
64.40.6
63.863.2
Auto15.1
Teleop38.8
End8.5
red by 10.0
54.40.3
52.452.7
Auto15.4
Teleop31.0
End7.0
Third
2834
#14
42.80.6
42.241.6
Auto13.9
Teleop20.9
End8.3
red by 13.0
8728
#21
29.70.3
27.728.0
Auto10.6
Teleop11.0
End9.2