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Red202
5165.5
283442.8
546064.4
Blue191
540654.4
872829.7
442259.0
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18214150100200250202191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#2
65.50.5
64.364.8
Auto14.6
Teleop39.3
End10.0
red by 6.5
59.00.9
57.258.2
Auto14.7
Teleop34.4
End8.6
Second
64.40.5
63.263.7
Auto15.1
Teleop38.8
End8.5
red by 10.0
54.40.9
52.753.6
Auto15.4
Teleop31.0
End7.0
Third
2834
#14
42.80.5
41.642.1
Auto13.9
Teleop20.9
End8.3
red by 13.0
8728
#21
29.70.9
28.028.9
Auto10.6
Teleop11.0
End9.2