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Red215
5165.5
283442.8
546064.4
Blue195
540654.4
872829.7
442259.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18414450100200250215195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#2
65.50.7
64.865.5
Auto14.6
Teleop39.3
End10.0
red by 6.5
59.00.8
58.259.0
Auto14.7
Teleop34.4
End8.6
Second
64.40.7
63.764.4
Auto15.1
Teleop38.8
End8.5
red by 10.0
54.40.8
53.654.4
Auto15.4
Teleop31.0
End7.0
Third
2834
#14
42.80.7
42.142.8
Auto13.9
Teleop20.9
End8.3
red by 13.0
8728
#21
29.70.8
28.929.7
Auto10.6
Teleop11.0
End9.2