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Qual 12023 Rainbow Rumble
Red108
335759.1
872829.7
719740.3
Blue136
5165.5
608152.7
283442.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14417450100200250108136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3357
#4
59.12.0
61.6→59.5
Auto15.6
Teleop29.6
End12.1
blue by 6.4
51
#2
65.51.9
60.3→58.4
Auto14.6
Teleop39.3
End10.0
Second
7197
#19
40.32.0
47.8→45.7
Auto10.2
Teleop19.9
End9.7
blue by 12.4
6081
#3
52.71.9
53.3→51.4
Auto13.6
Teleop29.4
End9.2
Third
8728
#21
29.72.0
29.3→27.3
Auto10.6
Teleop11.0
End9.2
blue by 13.0
2834
#14
42.81.9
49.7→47.7
Auto13.9
Teleop20.9
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
91%Sustainability oddsMissed89%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
94%Activation oddsEarned96%Activation oddsEarned