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Qual 22023 Rainbow Rumble
Red100
686123.9
283238.8
365546.8
Blue161
50341.7
442259.0
546064.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13016450100150200250100161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3655
#11
46.82.0
53.7→51.7
Auto7.2
Teleop30.5
End7.3
blue by 17.6
5460
#1
64.40.7
62.0→62.7
Auto15.1
Teleop38.8
End8.5
Second
2832
#18
38.82.0
47.0→44.9
Auto12.3
Teleop19.1
End7.2
blue by 20.1
4422
#8
59.00.7
55.3→55.9
Auto14.7
Teleop34.4
End8.6
Third
6861
#20
23.92.0
25.0→23.0
Auto7.5
Teleop14.2
End3.4
blue by 17.8
503
#6
41.70.7
37.2→37.9
Auto12.5
Teleop21.2
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
83%Sustainability oddsMissed80%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
50%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsEarned