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Qual 102023 Rainbow Rumble
Red79
999917.4
22630.7
842414.2
Blue97
686123.9
6081B17.0
5165.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions771100501001507997

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#29
30.70.7
41.3→40.6
Auto9.7
Teleop17.0
End5.0
blue by 34.7
51
#2
65.50.2
58.4→58.2
Auto14.6
Teleop39.3
End10.0
Second
9999
Unranked
17.41.2
27.8→26.6
Auto5.5
Teleop7.7
End5.0
blue by 6.5
6861
#20
23.90.2
23.0→22.8
Auto7.5
Teleop14.2
End3.4
Third
8424
#32
14.20.7
20.5→19.8
Auto7.1
Teleop1.3
End6.1
blue by 2.8
6081B
#28
17.00.2
18.0→17.8
Auto5.7
Teleop7.4
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed67%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
64%Activation oddsEarned61%Activation oddsEarned