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Qual 112023 Rainbow Rumble
Red137
608152.7
540654.4
317534.6
Blue133
438152.7
30250.0
283238.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16016780100120140180200220137133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5406
#7
54.41.0
54.8→53.8
Auto15.4
Teleop31.0
End7.0
red by 1.7
4381
#15
52.71.4
56.5→55.0
Auto15.7
Teleop27.8
End8.3
Second
6081
#3
52.71.0
53.5→52.5
Auto13.6
Teleop29.4
End9.2
red by 2.7
302
#16
50.01.4
58.1→56.6
Auto11.3
Teleop26.6
End10.4
Third
3175
#24
34.61.0
45.2→44.3
Auto13.9
Teleop13.6
End7.5
blue by 4.2
2832
#18
38.81.4
44.9→43.5
Auto12.3
Teleop19.1
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
91%Sustainability oddsEarned83%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
95%Activation oddsEarned96%Activation oddsEarned