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Red173
931249.7
607851.2
546064.4
Blue123
103833.8
335759.1
432728.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17514450100200173123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.40.2
63.563.3
Auto15.1
Teleop38.8
End8.5
red by 5.3
59.11.4
60.258.9
Auto15.6
Teleop29.6
End12.1
Second
6078
#13
51.20.2
48.848.6
Auto11.7
Teleop32.4
End6.2
red by 17.4
1038
#23
33.81.4
42.841.4
Auto9.0
Teleop20.1
End5.1
Third
49.70.2
52.952.7
Auto11.0
Teleop30.0
End7.7
red by 21.5
4327
#25
28.21.4
35.233.9
Auto10.1
Teleop11.2
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
95%Sustainability oddsEarned89%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
78%Activation oddsEarned96%Activation oddsEarned