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Qual 242023 Rainbow Rumble
Red142
721151.2
5165.5
570411.3
Blue129
30250.0
686123.9
607851.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12513450100150200142129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#2
65.51.5
60.5→62.0
Auto14.6
Teleop39.3
End10.0
red by 14.2
6078
#13
51.20.0
49.1→49.1
Auto11.7
Teleop32.4
End6.2
Second
7211
#5
51.21.5
48.1→49.6
Auto16.0
Teleop25.6
End8.2
red by 1.2
302
#16
50.00.0
54.2→54.2
Auto11.3
Teleop26.6
End10.4
Third
5704
#31
11.31.5
10.3→11.8
Auto5.3
Teleop4.0
End2.5
blue by 12.6
6861
#20
23.90.0
20.8→20.7
Auto7.5
Teleop14.2
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
45%Sustainability oddsEarned54%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
77%Activation oddsEarned71%Activation oddsEarned