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Qual 252023 Rainbow Rumble
Red124
842414.2
442259.0
3354.9
Blue159
283238.8
546064.4
540654.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13516250100150200124159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4422
#8
59.00.4
55.0→54.6
Auto14.7
Teleop34.4
End8.6
blue by 5.4
5460
#1
64.40.3
60.9→61.2
Auto15.1
Teleop38.8
End8.5
Second
33
#17
54.90.4
58.8→58.4
Auto16.3
Teleop28.5
End8.3
red by 0.4
5406
#7
54.40.3
52.6→52.8
Auto15.4
Teleop31.0
End7.0
Third
8424
#32
14.20.4
18.0→17.5
Auto7.1
Teleop1.3
End6.1
blue by 24.7
2832
#18
38.80.3
41.7→42.0
Auto12.3
Teleop19.1
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
36%Sustainability oddsEarned92%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned76%Activation oddsEarned