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Qual 272023 Rainbow Rumble
Red89
317534.6
283442.8
365636.2
Blue95
103833.8
261135.5
931249.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1301370501001502002508995

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2834
#14
42.82.5
46.9→44.4
Auto13.9
Teleop20.9
End8.3
blue by 6.9
9312
#9
49.72.2
52.7→50.5
Auto11.0
Teleop30.0
End7.7
Second
3656
#10
36.22.5
38.7→36.2
Auto11.6
Teleop16.0
End8.1
red by 0.7
2611
#12
35.52.2
39.0→36.8
Auto10.4
Teleop18.7
End6.4
Third
3175
#24
34.62.5
36.4→33.8
Auto13.9
Teleop13.6
End7.5
red by 0.8
1038
#23
33.82.2
36.4→34.2
Auto9.0
Teleop20.1
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
81%Sustainability oddsMissed78%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
81%Activation oddsEarned75%Activation oddsMissed